BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Utah St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 111 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (5-3) Overall: (6-6) Overall Strength =  135.16

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/27/2022 Home    W   141.52  31  20   1A 114 (  6-  6) Connecticut             7.31      3.69                      
  2 09/03/2022 Away    L   123.85   0  55   1A   8 ( 10-  2) Alabama               -10.36 *  -44.64                      
  3 09/10/2022 Home    L   113.31   7  35   1B   5 ( 10-  3) Weber St              -20.90     -7.10                      
  4 09/24/2022 Home    L * 124.12  24  34   1A 106 (  5-  7) UNLV                  -10.10      0.10                      
  5 09/29/2022 Away    L   138.64  26  38   1A  68 (  7-  5) Brigham Young           4.43    -16.43                      
  6 10/08/2022 Home    W * 155.82  34  27   1A  60 (  9-  3) Air Force              21.61    -14.61                      
  7 10/15/2022 Away    W * 135.36  17  13   1A 126 (  3-  9) Colorado St             1.15      2.85                      
  8 10/22/2022 Away    L * 124.93  14  28   1A 102 (  7-  5) Wyoming                -9.28     -4.72                      
  9 11/05/2022 Home    W * 141.74  27  10   1A 128 (  2- 10) New Mexico              7.53      9.47                      
 10 11/12/2022 Away    W * 133.61  41  34   1A 129 (  3- 10) Hawaii                 -0.60      7.60                      
 11 11/19/2022 Home    W * 144.01  35  31   1A  89 (  7-  4) San Jose St             9.80     -5.80                      
 12 11/25/2022 Away    L * 133.64  23  42   1A  64 (  9-  4) Boise St               -0.57    -18.43                      
      Averages             134.21  23.2 30.6

Best game:  155.82 = 7 point win over Air Force
Worst game: 113.31 = 28 point loss to Weber St
Team stdev:  11.39